I’m a little surprised at how much momentum there was for people thinking Brandon Rios has a chance against Manny Pacquiao. As Timothy Bradley said several times, matchups make fights, and this isn’t a good one for Brandon Rios.
Coming into this fight, Rios lost his rematch in the spring to Mike Alvarado, who started to box more. Just by boxing more, Rios strugged against a guy he knocked out and lost to. As good a fighter as Alvarado is, he doesn’t have the kind of speed that Pacquiao has. I just think Rios will have even more problems trying to get to Pacquiao.
And lets not forget that Pacquiao is still one of the hardest punchers in the game with both hands, and he can attack from angles you can’t see. Rios was never a great defensive fighter, and it could be target practice for Pacquiao.
With Pacquiao’s speed and power, he puts people on edge. Bradley said that when he fought Pacquaio, he was in the best shape of his life. But by the fourth round, he was exhausted. Because of the angles Pacquiao can throw punches, he kept Bradley on edge and tense. It was a very interesting take.
Now what is working in Rios’ favor is that Pacquiao is coming off that knockout loss to Juan Manuel Marquez. Pacquiao writes it off as being careless. But that’s the beauty of boxing. One second, one punch can change a fight. And Rios has that kind of ability.
Rios also has Alex Ariza, the former strength trainer for Pacquiao. That certainly makes for an interesting dynamic.
Rios is one of the great warriors in boxing, but I just don’t think he’ll be able to do enough against Pacquiao. Speed does kill.
Pacquiao by KO, 9th round.